Who will control the House of Representatives after the 2024 election?

• Control of the House of Representatives is on the ballot.
• There are 17 «crossover» districts.
• Will Republicans lose their majority?

All 435 seats in the House of Representatives are up for grabs in the 2024 elections, which will be held on Tuesday, November 5.

However, only a portion of them will be competitive races that could help determine which party will take control of the House in 2025.

Republicans have an increasingly narrow majority in the House, so there is a lot at stake this year.

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According to USA Today, the narrow Republican majority in the House has made it difficult for them to act on their conservative priorities.

Currently, they have 219 seats while the Democrats have only 212 in the House of Representatives.

However, the Democrats will have 213 seats when Representative-elect Tom Suozzi (New York) is sworn in.

Democrats would only need to flip a few districts to regain control.

Crucial districts will determine control of the House

Much of the control of the 2024 House of Representatives elections will focus on a very important point.

There are 17 Republicans representing districts that President Joe Biden won in the 2020 presidential election.

These districts, referred to as «crossovers,» will be crucial in determining control of the lower chamber.

While Democrats have high hopes of regaining the House, Republicans will have to defend or expand their majority.

Republicans representing districts won by Biden

According to USA Today, there are 17 Republicans representing districts won by Biden.

They are: David Schweikert and Juan Ciscomani from Arizona as well as John Duarte, David Valadao, Mike Garcia, Young Kim and Michelle Steel from California.

Don Bacon from Nebraska; Tom Kean Jr from New Jersey; Nick LaLota, Anthony D’Esposito, Mike Lawler, Marc Molinaro and Brandon Williams from New York are also in crossover districts.

Finally, we have Lori Chavez-DeRemer from Oregon, Brian Fritzpatrick from Pennsylvania and Jen Kiggans from Virginia.

Democratic seats in Trump districts

On the other hand, Republicans also have some vulnerable Democratic seats to target.

These are Democrats representing districts that Donald Trump won in 2020.

If Republicans want to maintain their majority and have a little more leeway to pass laws, they will need to capture some of those seats.

The representatives for districts won by Trump are: Mary Peltola, Jared Golden, Marcy Kaptur, Matt Cartwright and Marie Glesenkamp-Pérez.

What else is at stake?

According to USA Today, there are several seats at stake for both Democrats and Republicans.

For example, in Michigan, Democrats Elissa Slotkin and Dan Kildee are leaving their competitive districts. This is a great opportunity for Republicans.

Democrats also have the opportunity to turn California’s 41st Congressional District from red to blue.

Republican Ken Calvert (California) is now considered vulnerable due to redistricting after the 2020 census.

The U.S. House of Representatives

According to USA.gov, the House of Representatives is part of the federal government’s legislative branch.

There are 435 representatives who serve for a term of two years, and the number of representatives for each state is based on that state’s population.

Bills originate in the House of Representatives but need to be passed in the Senate before they become laws.